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Swindon vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two County Ground, Swindon
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swindon host Walsall in the League Two. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Swindon have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Walsall's 1 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Walsall slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Walsall to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Swindon
35%
Draws
56%
Walsall
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swindon come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Swindon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Swindon Clean Sheet 17%
Walsall Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon Walsall
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Walsall
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Swindon
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Swindon
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 League Two
Swindon vs Walsall
0:4
Apr 16, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Swindon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon 41 / 100
Walsall 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swindon found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Walsall let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Swindon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swindon VS Walsall
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon

(Home)
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0
Swindon
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1
Accrington
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

Walsall

(Away)
10 Oct
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Walsall
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1
Walsall
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0
Rochdale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)