Sport Picks
Swinoujscie vs Blekitni Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
1'
1'
Starzycki B.
34'
34'
Krocz S.
41'
41'
Fadecki W.
AI Match Summary
Blekitni Stargard in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blekitni Stargard.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blekitni Stargard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Blekitni Stargard have won more games recently than Swinoujscie.
- Win probability leans Blekitni Stargard's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Blekitni Stargard here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swinoujscie | Blekitni Stargard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Blekitni Stargard
1:5
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Blekitni Stargard vs Swinoujscie
4:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Swinoujscie
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Blekitni Stargard
1:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Blekitni Stargard
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swinoujscie Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Blekitni Stargard Compare
Top Goalscorer Starzycki B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Krocz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swinoujscie Blekitni Stargard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Swinoujscie scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Blekitni Stargard has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Swinoujscie remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swinoujscie VS Blekitni Stargard
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Swinoujscie
(Home) 09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5 Blekitni Stargard
19 Aug
Swinoujscie
5 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Aug
Swinoujscie
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 3
Blekitni Stargard
(Away) 10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4 Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0 KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5 Blekitni Stargard
19 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 1 Blekitni Stargard
08 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
