Sport Picks
Swinoujscie vs Gedania Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
87'
87'
Grieger A.
90'
90'
Manuszewski M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gedania Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gedania Gdansk lately — more wins on the board than Swinoujscie.
- Gedania Gdansk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swinoujscie | Gedania Gdansk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 2.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Gedania Gdansk
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Gedania Gdansk
3:4
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Swinoujscie
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Gedania Gdansk
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Swinoujscie
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swinoujscie Compare
Top Goalscorer Grieger A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Gedania Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Manuszewski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swinoujscie Gedania Gdansk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gedania Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gedania Gdansk let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Swinoujscie scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Swinoujscie remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swinoujscie VS Gedania Gdansk
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Swinoujscie
(Home) 09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5 Blekitni Stargard
19 Aug
Swinoujscie
5 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Aug
Swinoujscie
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 4
Gedania Gdansk
(Away) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
19 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
