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Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swinoujscie host Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Swinoujscie at 1.17 goals for, 2.03 against; Polonia Sroda Wielkopol at 2.19 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Polonia Sroda Wielkopol slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 6:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.19) point toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Swinoujscie
20%
Draws
74%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Polonia Sroda Wielkopol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.17 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Swinoujscie
6:2
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Swinoujscie
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Swinoujscie scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Swinoujscie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Swinoujscie

(Home)
31 Oct
Lech Poznan II
8 : 1
Swinoujscie
24 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2
Swinoujscie
18 Oct
Wda Swiecie
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
31 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
5 : 2
Luzino
28 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 1
Slask Wroclaw II
24 Oct
KKS Kalisz
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
18 Oct
Lech Poznan II
2 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)