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Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kolodziej S.
62' Event
Zaborniak D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Swinoujscie and Unia Swarzedz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Swinoujscie
20%
Draws
70%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Swinoujscie
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz
2:3
Sep 20, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Swinoujscie
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolodziej S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaborniak D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Swinoujscie found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Swinoujscie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS Unia Swarzedz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swinoujscie

(Home)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)