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Swit Mazowiecki vs KTS Weszlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Malec M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Swit Mazowiecki and KTS Weszlo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTS Weszlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Swit Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
45%
KTS Weszlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KTS Weszlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • KTS Weszlo's 2.47 goals per match outpaces what Swit Mazowiecki have produced (1.74).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%
KTS Weszlo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki KTS Weszlo
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.74 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs KTS Weszlo
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Swit Mazowiecki vs KTS Weszlo
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

KTS Weszlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Malec M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 29 / 100
KTS Weszlo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki KTS Weszlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Swit Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

KTS Weszlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS KTS Weszlo
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

KTS Weszlo

(Away)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)