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Stadium Background

Swit Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kriegler B.
Own Goal
19' Event
Zbikowski K.
54' Event
Tyska J.

AI Match Summary

Swit Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swit Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Swit Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
8%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Swit Mazowiecki have won more games recently than LKS Lomza.
  • Win probability leans Swit Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki LKS Lomza
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
4:0
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Swit Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
0:0
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Zbikowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tyska J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

LKS Lomza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 85 / 100
LKS Lomza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki LKS Lomza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

LKS Lomza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Swit Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS LKS Lomza
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7
LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lomza

(Away)
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)