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Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swit Mazowiecki host Olimpia Elblag in the III Liga - Group I. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Swit Mazowiecki have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Olimpia Elblag's 1.23 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Olimpia Elblag slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.56, favoring Swit Mazowiecki. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Swit Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
38%
Olimpia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swit Mazowiecki come out ahead of Olimpia Elblag on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Swit Mazowiecki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki Olimpia Elblag
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:1
May 11, 2014 Division 2 - East
Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
1:2
Oct 12, 2013 Division 2 - East
Olimpia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:1
Apr 20, 2013 Division 2 - East
Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 35 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki Olimpia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Olimpia Elblag has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Swit Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Olimpia Elblag
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
31 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
24 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 0
Troszyn
18 Oct
Jagiellonia II
1 : 3
Swit Mazowiecki
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7
LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
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Olimpia Elblag

(Away)
31 Oct
Troszyn
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 0
Jagiellonia II
17 Oct
LKS Lodz II
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)