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Swit Mazowiecki vs Troszyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swit Mazowiecki host Troszyn in the III Liga - Group I. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Swit Mazowiecki at 1.7 goals for, 1.94 against; Troszyn at 2.07 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Swit Mazowiecki slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Troszyn. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Swit Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
29%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Troszyn come out ahead of Swit Mazowiecki on wins alone.
  • Swit Mazowiecki are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 17%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki Troszyn
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Swit Mazowiecki
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Troszyn
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 66 / 100
Troszyn 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Troszyn has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Swit Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Troszyn
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7
LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 7

Troszyn

(Away)
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)