Sport Picks
Swit Mazowiecki vs Warta Sieradz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
30'
30'
Krecichwost B.
46'
46'
Zbikowski K.
54'
54'
Ruiz Benitez E. L.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Swit Mazowiecki and Warta Sieradz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Warta Sieradz come out ahead of Swit Mazowiecki on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Swit Mazowiecki taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Warta Sieradz have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swit Mazowiecki | Warta Sieradz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Warta Sieradz
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Warta Sieradz
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Warta Sieradz
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Zbikowski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruiz Benitez E. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Krecichwost B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swit Mazowiecki 35 / 100
Warta Sieradz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swit Mazowiecki Warta Sieradz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swit Mazowiecki scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Warta Sieradz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Swit Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swit Mazowiecki VS Warta Sieradz
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Swit Mazowiecki
(Home) 10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7 LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7 LKS Lodz II
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 4
Warta Sieradz
(Away) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Warta Sieradz
09 Aug
LKS Lodz II
0 : 1 Warta Sieradz
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3 Warta Sieradz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
