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Swit Szczecin vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Tkachuk Y.
35' Event
Gogol P.
68'
Kisly D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Swit Szczecin and Zaglebie Sosnowiec finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Szczecin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Swit Szczecin
15%
Draws
42%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Szczecin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zaglebie Sosnowiec come out ahead of Swit Szczecin on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Swit Szczecin here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Swit Szczecin Clean Sheet 11%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Szczecin Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 2
Swit Szczecin vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Swit Szczecin
3:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Swit Szczecin
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 Division 2
Swit Szczecin vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ropski K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogol P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Szczecin 30 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Szczecin Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie Sosnowiec let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Swit Szczecin scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Szczecin VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Szczecin

(Home)
03 Oct
Swit Szczecin
2 : 1
Kleczew
23 Sept
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 0
Swit Szczecin
18 Sept
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
3 : 0
Swit Szczecin
12 Sept
Swit Szczecin
1 : 5
Chojniczanka
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
Barycz Sulow
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
29 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 21 5 8 69:45 68
2 Warta Poznan 34 17 13 4 57:37 64
3 Ol. Grudziadz 34 18 10 6 69:42 64
4 Podbeskidzie 34 17 7 10 64:43 58
5 Slask Wroclaw II 34 16 7 11 65:49 55
6 Sandecja Nowy S. 34 14 13 7 54:40 55
7 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 13 14 7 46:35 53
8 Chojniczanka 34 14 10 10 58:47 52
9 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 34 12 10 12 45:48 46
10 Stal Stalowa Wola 34 10 16 8 56:43 46
11 Hutnik Krakow 34 12 10 12 47:40 46
12 Swit Szczecin 34 12 8 14 51:59 44
13 R. Rzeszow 34 10 12 12 48:47 42
14 Kleczew 34 10 7 17 47:62 37
15 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 34 9 7 18 37:61 34
16 KKS Kalisz 34 8 10 16 37:55 34
17 LKS Lodz II 34 5 10 19 33:64 25
18 GKS Jastrzebie 34 0 7 27 18:84 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)