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Switzerland vs Algeria

World World

World Championship 2026 BC Place
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Switzerland play Algeria in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Switzerland averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Algeria averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Switzerland won 1, Algeria won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Switzerland and 1.56 for Algeria. This points to a Switzerland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Switzerland
32%
Draws
32%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Switzerland picked up more points recently compared to Algeria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 15%
Algeria Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Switzerland Algeria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 World Championship
Switzerland vs Algeria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Embolo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndoye D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Algeria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Switzerland 35 / 100
Algeria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Switzerland Algeria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Switzerland or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Switzerland attacking → ← attacking Algeria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Switzerland scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Algeria let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Switzerland went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Algeria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 56
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38