Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Switzerland vs Slovenia

World World

World Championship 2026 St. Jakob-Park
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Elvedi N.
Assist: Vargas R.
21'
Sub
Lovric S. In: Petrovic D.
Out: Lovric S.
33' Event
Embolo B.
Assist: Rieder F.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Switzerland and Slovenia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Switzerland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Switzerland
6%
Draws
4%
Slovenia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Switzerland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Switzerland's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 20%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Switzerland Slovenia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 13
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship
Slovenia vs Switzerland
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Switzerland vs Slovenia
3:0
Sep 5, 2015 Euro
Switzerland vs Slovenia
3:2
Oct 9, 2014 Euro
Slovenia vs Switzerland
1:0
Oct 15, 2013 World Championship
Switzerland vs Slovenia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Elvedi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Embolo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Slovenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Switzerland 85 / 100
Slovenia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Switzerland Slovenia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Switzerland's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Slovenia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Switzerland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Switzerland VS Slovenia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280