Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 St. Jakob-Park, Basel

Switzerland

3 - 0

Slovenia

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Elvedi N.

Assist: Vargas R.

21'

Sub

Lovric S. In: Petrovic D.

Out: Lovric S.

33'

Embolo B.

Assist: Rieder F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Switzerland and Slovenia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Switzerland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Switzerland

20%

Draws

24%

Slovenia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Switzerland carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Switzerland's way, sitting at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Switzerland Clean Sheet 20%

Slovenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Switzerland	Slovenia
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	14	10
Draws	13	13
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	1.85	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship

Slovenia vs Switzerland

0:0

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship

Switzerland vs Slovenia

3:0

Sep 5, 2015 Euro

Switzerland vs Slovenia

3:2

Oct 9, 2014 Euro

Slovenia vs Switzerland

1:0

Oct 15, 2013 World Championship

Switzerland vs Slovenia

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Elvedi N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Embolo B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Slovenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Switzerland 85 / 100

Slovenia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Switzerland Slovenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Switzerland Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Switzerland's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Slovenia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Switzerland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Switzerland VS Slovenia

1.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Switzerland

(Home)

12 Jul

Argentina

3 : 1

Switzerland

07 Jul

Switzerland

1 : 0

Colombia

03 Jul

Switzerland

2 : 0

Algeria

24 Jun

Switzerland

2 : 1

Canada

18 Jun

Switzerland

4 : 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina

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Slovenia

(Away)

07 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Slovenia

04 Jun

Slovenia

1 : 1

Cyprus

31 Mar

Montenegro

2 : 3

Slovenia

28 Mar

Hungary

1 : 0

Slovenia

18 Nov

Sweden

1 : 1

Slovenia

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