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Sydney FC vs Auckland FC

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Gallegos L. F. In: Howieson C.
Out: Gallegos L. F.
46'
Sub
Rogerson L. In: May G.
Out: Rogerson L.
56' Event
Garuccio B.
Assist: Quispe Cordova P. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sydney FC
33%
Draws
27%
Auckland FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sydney FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland FC lately — more wins on the board than Sydney FC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sydney FC taking it.
  • Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC Auckland FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Sydney FC
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Auckland FC
2:2
Feb 17, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Auckland FC
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Sydney FC
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Australia Cup
Sydney FC vs Auckland FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Garuccio B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Auckland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer May G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC 40 / 100
Auckland FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC Auckland FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sydney FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Auckland FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sydney FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC VS Auckland FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Bayswater
1 : 5
Sydney FC
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2
Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets
02 May
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1
Sydney FC
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Auckland FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1
Melbourne City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)