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Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
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Match Events

13' Event
Glasson M.

AI Match Summary

Sydney FC U23 in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sydney FC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sydney FC U23
33%
Draws
40%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney FC U23 average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of NWS Spirit's 0.88.
  • Model gives NWS Spirit a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 20%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC U23 NWS Spirit
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sydney FC U23
0:4
May 23, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sydney FC U23
3:2
May 24, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Glasson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

NWS Spirit Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC U23 28 / 100
NWS Spirit 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC U23 NWS Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sydney FC U23's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

NWS Spirit let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Sydney FC U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC U23 VS NWS Spirit
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918