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Sydney FC U23 vs APIA Leichhardt

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
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Match Events

28' Event
Stewart J.
37' Event
Stewart J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sydney FC U23 and APIA Leichhardt finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sydney FC U23
30%
Draws
34%
APIA Leichhardt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sydney FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • APIA Leichhardt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sydney FC U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and APIA Leichhardt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 13%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC U23 APIA Leichhardt
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 24
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney FC U23
2:1
Mar 27, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs APIA Leichhardt
0:2
Jun 20, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs APIA Leichhardt
2:6
Mar 9, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney FC U23
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney FC U23
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC U23 35 / 100
APIA Leichhardt 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC U23 APIA Leichhardt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Sydney FC U23 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

APIA Leichhardt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Sydney FC U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC U23 VS APIA Leichhardt
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions24174345:1555
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd24163535:1751
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13Blacktown City24671133:3925
14St. George City24671122:4025
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019