Sport Picks
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 
Match Events
23'
23'
Tatafu M.
32'
32'
Monahan-Vaiika S.
AI Match Summary
St. George City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. George City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sydney FC U23 have won more games recently than St. George City.
- St. George City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 20%
St. George City Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney FC U23 | St. George City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City
0:2
May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
0:5
Jun 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
5:0
Jul 6, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney FC U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
St. George City Compare
Top Goalscorer Tatafu M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Monahan-Vaiika S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sydney FC U23 28 / 100
St. George City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sydney FC U23 St. George City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. George City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Sydney FC U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: St. George City conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Sydney FC U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sydney FC U23 VS St. George City
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sydney FC U23
(Home) 30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
26 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
05 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 3
St. George City
(Away) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
