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Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sydney FC U23 host St. George City in the NPL NSW. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Sydney FC U23 at 1.13 goals for, 0.88 against; St. George City at 1 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Sydney FC U23 have won 3 to St. George City's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.94) point toward Sydney FC U23. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sydney FC U23
17%
Draws
13%
St. George City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sydney FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sydney FC U23 have won more games recently than St. George City.
  • Sydney FC U23 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 20%
St. George City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC U23 St. George City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
0:5
Jun 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
5:0
Jul 6, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
1:2
May 1, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC U23 67 / 100
St. George City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC U23 St. George City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sydney FC U23 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: St. George City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Sydney FC U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC U23 VS St. George City
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney FC U23

(Home)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
UNSW
3 : 2
Sydney FC U23
30 Jun
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

St. George City

(Away)
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0
Sydney Utd
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
SD Raiders
3 : 1
St. George City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)