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Sydney FC U23 vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Farias R.
37' Event
Fulton J.
78' Event
Roberts N.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sydney FC U23 and UNSW finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNSW.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sydney FC U23
40%
Draws
29%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UNSW carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 16%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC U23 UNSW
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Sydney FC U23
3:2
Mar 20, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs UNSW
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Fulton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC U23 31 / 100
UNSW 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC U23 UNSW

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Sydney FC U23 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

UNSW let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sydney FC U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC U23 VS UNSW
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019