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Sydney Olympic vs Blacktown City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Belmore Sports Ground
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sydney Olympic play Blacktown City in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sydney Olympic averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Blacktown City averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Sydney Olympic won 1, Blacktown City won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sydney Olympic and 1.56 for Blacktown City. This points to a Blacktown City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sydney Olympic
22%
Draws
45%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Blacktown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney Olympic picked up more points recently compared to Blacktown City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 15%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Olympic Blacktown City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Sydney Olympic
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Blacktown City
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Blacktown City
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Sydney Olympic
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Sydney Olympic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Wong D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimaldi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skataric N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Olympic 33 / 100
Blacktown City 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Olympic Blacktown City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Blacktown City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sydney Olympic attacking → ← attacking Blacktown City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sydney Olympic scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Blacktown City let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sydney Olympic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Blacktown City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 27
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715