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Sydney Olympic vs Moreton City Excelsior

Australia Australia

Australian Championship Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Amanda G.
36' Event
Auglah A.
45' Event
Scott J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Australian Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sydney Olympic
6%
Draws
90%
Moreton City Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moreton City Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moreton City Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than Sydney Olympic.
  • Win probability leans Moreton City Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 11%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Olympic Moreton City Excelsior
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Australian Championship
Sydney Olympic vs Moreton City Excelsior
3:3
Oct 26, 2025 Australian Championship
Moreton City Excelsior vs Sydney Olympic
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Auglah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Moreton City Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jankovic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Olympic 10 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Olympic Moreton City Excelsior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sydney Olympic's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Moreton City Excelsior let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Sydney Olympic has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Olympic VS Moreton City Excelsior
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Melbourne651013:616
2Moreton City Excelsior622215:138
3Sydney Olympic621314:147
4Broadmeadow Magic FC61058:173
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1Avondale FC633012:612
2NWS Spirit62228:98
3Preston Lions61417:67
4Canberra Croatia61146:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wests APIA641112:413
2MetroStars63127:410
3Bayswater63127:910
4Sydney Utd60155:141