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Sydney Utd vs Central Coast

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney
Sydney Utd Logo

Sydney Utd

Wed, Jul 22, 2026
2 - 1
09:30 AM
Central Coast Logo

Central Coast

Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
O'Carroll O. In: Steele H.
Out: O'Carroll O.
58'
Sub
Wada T. In: Farah K.
Out: Wada T.
59' Event
Lavale O.
Assist: Brandtman B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Sydney Utd
15%
Draws
16%
Central Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than Central Coast.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Utd taking it.
  • Sydney Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sydney Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Utd Central Coast
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Australia Cup
Sydney Utd vs Central Coast
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Central Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavale O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Utd 85 / 100
Central Coast 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Utd Central Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Coast has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Sydney Utd remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sydney Utd found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Utd VS Central Coast
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Utd

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 6

Central Coast

(Away)
12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0
Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2
Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1
Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0
Central Coast
19 Apr
Auckland FC
0 : 1
Central Coast
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -