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Sydney Utd vs Sydney Olympic Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wells M.
78' Event
De Oliveira C.
83' Event
De Oliveira C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sydney Utd and Sydney Olympic finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sydney Utd
20%
Draws
19%
Sydney Olympic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sydney Olympic haven't matched Sydney Utd's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Utd taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Utd Sydney Olympic
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Sydney Utd
1:2
May 3, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Sydney Olympic
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Sydney Olympic
2:1
May 10, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Sydney Utd
4:0
Jun 9, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Sydney Olympic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer De Oliveira C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wells M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sydney Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Utd 95 / 100
Sydney Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Utd Sydney Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sydney Olympic conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Sydney Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sydney Utd found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Utd VS Sydney Olympic
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Utd

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
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Sydney Olympic

(Away)
30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1
Marconi Stallions
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3
APIA Leichhardt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)