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Syrianska vs Nykopings

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Syrianska play Nykopings in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. It looks like a close match. Recently, Syrianska averaged 1.52 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Nykopings averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Syrianska won 2, Nykopings won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Syrianska and 1.94 for Nykopings. This points to a Nykopings double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Syrianska
25%
Draws
42%
Nykopings
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Syrianska picked up more points recently compared to Nykopings.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Syrianska Clean Sheet 10%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Syrianska Nykopings
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Nykopings
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Nykopings
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Syrianska
2:3
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Nykopings
1:1
May 4, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Syrianska
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Syrianska Compare

Top Goalscorer Petros D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bagir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Holm M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syrianska 32 / 100
Nykopings 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Syrianska Nykopings

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nykopings or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Syrianska attacking → ← attacking Nykopings

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Syrianska scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Nykopings let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Syrianska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nykopings lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 60
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337