Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Syrianska vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Frisk C.
45' Event
Poles R.
61' Event
Ibrahimovic A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Syrianska and Smedby finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Syrianska
30%
Draws
51%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Smedby taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Syrianska Clean Sheet 12%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Syrianska Smedby
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.4 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Smedby
2:2
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Syrianska
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Smedby
1:0
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Syrianska
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Smedby
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Syrianska Compare

Top Goalscorer Poles R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soyemi-Olade A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Frisk C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syrianska 10 / 100
Smedby 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Syrianska Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smedby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Syrianska found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Smedby let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Syrianska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Syrianska VS Smedby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Syrianska

(Home)
30 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 1
Syrianska
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
16 Aug
Forward
5 : 0
Syrianska
08 Aug
Ragsved
2 : 1
Syrianska
01 Aug
Syrianska
4 : 1
Eker Orebro
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Smedby

(Away)
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0
Eker Orebro
08 Aug
Karlslund
1 : 1
Smedby
01 Aug
Smedby
2 : 0
Orebro Syrianska
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 19 11 4 4 43:31 37
2 Farsta 19 11 3 5 42:21 36
3 Haninge 19 11 3 5 48:34 36
4 Forward 19 11 3 5 37:23 36
5 Smedby 19 10 4 5 38:25 34
6 Nykopings 19 10 3 6 31:21 33
7 Ragsved 19 8 5 6 36:31 29
8 Fittja IF 19 9 2 8 33:32 29
9 Karlslund 19 6 5 8 25:29 23
10 Orebro Syrianska 19 6 2 11 18:22 20
11 Lindo FF 19 5 2 12 26:36 17
12 Nacka FC 19 5 2 12 21:38 17
13 Syrianska 19 4 4 11 28:48 16
14 Eker Orebro 19 4 2 13 19:54 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)