Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026

Eston Villa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu Ulasabat play Eston Villa in the Estonian Cup 2025/2026. Tabasalu Ulasabat are favorites here. Recently, Tabasalu Ulasabat averaged 3.29 goals scored and 2 conceded. Eston Villa averaged 1.97 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. In past meetings, Tabasalu Ulasabat won 1, Eston Villa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2025 ended 13:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Tabasalu Ulasabat and 2.75 for Eston Villa. This points to a Tabasalu Ulasabat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Tabasalu Ulasabat

15%

Draws

28%

Eston Villa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu Ulasabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Tabasalu Ulasabat picked up more points recently compared to Eston Villa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Tabasalu Ulasabat Clean Sheet 10%

Eston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tabasalu Ulasabat	Eston Villa
Matches Played	7	30
Wins	3	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	18
Goals Scored	3.29	1.97
Goals Conceded	2	3.37
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Estonian Cup

Tabasalu Ulasabat vs Eston Villa

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

13:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu Ulasabat 53 / 100

Eston Villa 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tabasalu Ulasabat Eston Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu Ulasabat Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tabasalu Ulasabat & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tabasalu Ulasabat attacking → ← attacking Eston Villa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu Ulasabat scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Eston Villa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 13.00 goals.

Tabasalu Ulasabat went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Eston Villa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 36

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.75

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38