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Tabasalu Ulasabat vs Laanemaa Haapsalu

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu Ulasabat play Laanemaa Haapsalu in the Estonian Cup 2024/2025. Tabasalu Ulasabat are favorites here. Recently, Tabasalu Ulasabat averaged 5.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Laanemaa Haapsalu averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Tabasalu Ulasabat won 0, Laanemaa Haapsalu won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 9, 2024 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Tabasalu Ulasabat and 0.92 for Laanemaa Haapsalu. This points to a Tabasalu Ulasabat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tabasalu Ulasabat
6%
Draws
4%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tabasalu Ulasabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Laanemaa Haapsalu has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tabasalu Ulasabat.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tabasalu Ulasabat.
  • Cup tournament structure in Estonian Cup 2024/2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tabasalu Ulasabat Clean Sheet 20%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Ulasabat Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 25
Goals Scored 5.33 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 5.33 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Estonian Cup
Tabasalu Ulasabat vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Ulasabat Compare

Top Goalscorer Ermann M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.1
Avg xA / game 2.67

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Veski S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Konks M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu Ulasabat 85 / 100
Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Ulasabat Laanemaa Haapsalu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu Ulasabat scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Laanemaa Haapsalu let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Tabasalu Ulasabat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Laanemaa Haapsalu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu Ulasabat VS Laanemaa Haapsalu
5.33 Goals Scored 0.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kubik-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
FC Hell Hunt-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Tabasalu6
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Tallinna GameSport-
TBD-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu-
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
EstHam United-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Tartu-
Kristiine-
TBD-
Legion3
Raplamaa1
Johvi Phoenix-
TBD-
TBD-
Kohvile-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Tamper4
JK Poseidon1
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco 2-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U214
Saue JK Laagri0
Kalju-
TBD-
TBD-
Eston Villa-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
Viimsi JK0
Kuressaare1
Kose1
Tartu Kalev6
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Loo JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Helm-
Tallinna Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
Elva-
Levadia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tulevik2
Zealot Sporting1
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Kuusalu Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
Tartu Helios-
Saae Latte-
TBD-
TBD-
Hiiumaa-
Flora U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Sillamae Silmet-
TransferWise-
TBD-
Kose II0
Harju JK Laagri26
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond4
Soccernet0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
Arukula Vigri-
FC Lootos Polva-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Starmedia-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Tallinna Smsraha-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Ararat-
Vastseliina Tannem5
Vana Hea Puur0
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
1/32-finals
Kubik3
Marjamaa Kompanii4
FC Hell Hunt1
Tabasalu3
Saku Sporting1
FC Tallinn2
Tallinna GameSport0
Tammeka Tartu24
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
EstHam United0
Inter Tartu4
Kristiine0
Legion5
Johvi Phoenix3
Kohvile1
Maksatransport3
Parnu1
Tamper3
Tartu JK Welco 21
Tartu JK Welco2
Flora Tallinn U213
Kalju11
Eston Villa1
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Maardu Aliens0
Kuressaare12
Tartu Kalev7
Pelgu City0
Loo JK2
Helm4
Tallinna Wolves0
Elva8
Levadia-
TBD-
Tulevik3
Jarva-Jaani0
Kuusalu Kalev0
Tartu Helios4
Saae Latte2
Hiiumaa6
Flora U190
Tallinna Kalev U216
Tallinna FC Zapoos4
Sillamae Silmet3
TransferWise0
Harju JK Laagri15
Nomme Utd9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond0
Narva7
Arukula Vigri0
FC Lootos Polva0
Tallinna Starmedia3
Parnu JK Vaprus11
Olympic Tallinn0
Tallinna Smsraha1
FC Ararat3
Vastseliina Tannem1
Tabasalu Ulasabat5
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Rumori Calcio1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii0
Tabasalu2
FC Tallinn2
Tammeka Tartu1
Tallinna Kalev14
Inter Tartu0
Legion4
Johvi Phoenix3
Maksatransport0
Tamper3
Flora Tallinn U210
Kalju7
Flora0
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare7
Tartu Kalev0
Helm1
Elva5
Levadia8
Tulevik1
Tartu Helios1
Hiiumaa3
Tallinna Kalev U212
Tallinna FC Zapoos5
Harju JK Laagri3
Nomme Utd0
Narva6
Tallinna Starmedia1
Parnu JK Vaprus10
FC Ararat0
Tabasalu Ulasabat1
Laanemaa Haapsalu6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu1
FC Tallinn3
Tallinna Kalev3
Legion0
Tamper0
Kalju9
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare1
Elva1
Levadia3
Hiiumaa2
Tallinna FC Zapoos3
Harju JK Laagri0
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn0
Tallinna Kalev5
Kalju1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Levadia7
Tallinna FC Zapoos0
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev0
Kalju5
Levadia1
Narva0
Final
Kalju4
Levadia3