Sport Picks
Tabasalu Ulasabat vs Parnu JK Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu Ulasabat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Parnu JK Vaprus carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tabasalu Ulasabat a 51% chance of winning this.
- Parnu JK Vaprus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Parnu JK Vaprus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tabasalu Ulasabat Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tabasalu Ulasabat | Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Estonian Cup
Tabasalu Ulasabat vs Parnu JK Vaprus
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tabasalu Ulasabat 83 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tabasalu Ulasabat Parnu JK Vaprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tabasalu Ulasabat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Tabasalu Ulasabat scored in 75% of their last 8 games.
Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Parnu JK Vaprus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tabasalu Ulasabat VS Parnu JK Vaprus
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tabasalu Ulasabat
(Home) 21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
10 Jul
Lahte United
1 : 3 Tabasalu Ulasabat
27 Aug
Tabasalu Ulasabat
0 : 3 Harju JK Laagri
26 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
13 : 0 Eston Villa
09 Oct
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 6 Laanemaa Haapsalu
Page 1 of 2
21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
27 Aug
Tabasalu Ulasabat
0 : 3 Harju JK Laagri
26 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
13 : 0 Eston Villa
09 Oct
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 6 Laanemaa Haapsalu
21 Jun
Tabasalu Ulasabat
4 : 0 Flora U19
Parnu JK Vaprus
(Away) 10 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2 Narva
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
