Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Radionov I.
42' Event
Salei S.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Dobosev-Proosvali A.

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tabasalu
30%
Draws
41%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix have won more games recently than Tabasalu.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Johvi Phoenix taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2
May 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:1
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobosev-Proosvali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Radionov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 10 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Tabasalu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Johvi Phoenix
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
24 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
6 : 0
Tabasalu
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
23 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia U19 27 17 2 8 71:46 53
2 Narva U21 26 16 3 7 65:34 51
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 27 14 4 9 71:56 46
4 Johvi Phoenix 27 14 3 10 61:61 45
5 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 27 13 4 10 81:55 43
6 Tartu Kalev 27 13 2 12 65:51 41
7 Tulevik 27 12 5 10 67:54 41
8 Tabasalu 27 10 2 15 40:73 32
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 27 6 5 16 52:70 23
10 Legion 26 3 2 21 23:96 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)