Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lust A.
11' Event
Lust A.
48' Event
Pevtsov G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
64%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix have won more games recently than Tabasalu.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Johvi Phoenix taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.71 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
3:2
Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2
May 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:1
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lust A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Pevtsov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Friesen V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 10 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Johvi Phoenix conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Tabasalu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Johvi Phoenix
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 30 14 5 11 80:61 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 30 3 3 24 26:113 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)