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Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Timofejev I.
90' Event
Lust A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tabasalu and Legion finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tabasalu
20%
Draws
16%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Tabasalu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Legion
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.68 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.58 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
2:0
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
2:3
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lust A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Timofejev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 34 / 100
Legion 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Legion lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Legion
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
24 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
6 : 0
Tabasalu
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Legion

(Away)
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
3 Levadia U19 29 17 2 10 74:52 53
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 29 15 4 10 74:59 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)