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Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Anepaio A.

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tabasalu
28%
Draws
22%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tabasalu haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tabasalu a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Narva U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tabasalu
5:0
May 6, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Narva U21
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tabasalu
2:1
Aug 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Narva U21
1:0
May 17, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Narva U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Anepaio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Narva U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 47 / 100
Narva U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Narva U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Narva U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tabasalu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Narva U21
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777