Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Tammeka Tartu U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Roste R.
49' Event
Roste R.
51' Event
Tennokese R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tabasalu and Tammeka Tartu U21 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
36%
Tammeka Tartu U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Tabasalu here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Tammeka Tartu U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.71 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tammeka Tartu U21
3:2
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tabasalu
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tabasalu
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Roste R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tennokese R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 34 / 100
Tammeka Tartu U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Tammeka Tartu U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Tammeka Tartu U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Tammeka Tartu U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 7

Tammeka Tartu U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
31 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 5
Levadia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)