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Taboao da Serra W vs Nacional SP W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taboao da Serra W play Nacional SP W in the Paulista Women 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 4.26 conceded. Nacional SP W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. In past meetings, Taboao da Serra W won 0, Nacional SP W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 30, 2010 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.60 for Taboao da Serra W and 4.00 for Nacional SP W. This points to a Taboao da Serra W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Taboao da Serra W
15%
Draws
40%
Nacional SP W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taboao da Serra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Taboao da Serra W picked up more points recently compared to Nacional SP W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.60 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional SP W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taboao da Serra W Nacional SP W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.32 0.67
Goals Conceded 4.26 3.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 17.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2010 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Nacional SP W
0:2
May 5, 2010 Paulista Women
Nacional SP W vs Taboao da Serra W
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taboao da Serra W 43 / 100
Nacional SP W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taboao da Serra W Nacional SP W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Taboao da Serra W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Taboao da Serra W attacking → ← attacking Nacional SP W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taboao da Serra W scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Nacional SP W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Taboao da Serra W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nacional SP W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
17.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771