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Taboao da Serra W vs Portuguesa W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taboao da Serra W play Portuguesa W in the Paulista Women 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 4.3 conceded. Portuguesa W averaged 0.79 goals scored and 3.18 conceded. In past meetings, Taboao da Serra W won 1, Portuguesa W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 2, 2011 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Taboao da Serra W and 0.80 for Portuguesa W. This points to a Taboao da Serra W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Taboao da Serra W
15%
Draws
30%
Portuguesa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taboao da Serra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Taboao da Serra W picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 26%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taboao da Serra W Portuguesa W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 4
Draws 0 3
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 1.33 0.79
Goals Conceded 4.3 3.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2011 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Taboao da Serra W
4:0
May 7, 2011 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Portuguesa W
3:1
Jul 31, 2010 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Portuguesa W
1:2
May 15, 2010 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Taboao da Serra W
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taboao da Serra W 55 / 100
Portuguesa W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taboao da Serra W Portuguesa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taboao da Serra W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Taboao da Serra W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Taboao da Serra W attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taboao da Serra W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Portuguesa W let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Taboao da Serra W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 15
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771