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Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Jose W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taboao da Serra W play Sao Jose W in the Paulista Women 2011. Sao Jose W are favorites here. Recently, Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 4.26 conceded. Sao Jose W averaged 2.56 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Taboao da Serra W won 0, Sao Jose W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 30, 2011 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.85 for Taboao da Serra W and 0.80 for Sao Jose W. This points to a Sao Jose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Taboao da Serra W
15%
Draws
60%
Sao Jose W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Taboao da Serra W picked up more points recently compared to Sao Jose W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.85 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 26%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taboao da Serra W Sao Jose W
Matches Played 31 55
Wins 10 34
Draws 0 0
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.32 2.56
Goals Conceded 4.26 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2011 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Jose W
0:6
May 15, 2011 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Taboao da Serra W
4:1
Jun 20, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Taboao da Serra W
3:0
Apr 24, 2010 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Jose W
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taboao da Serra W 28 / 100
Sao Jose W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taboao da Serra W Sao Jose W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sao Jose W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Taboao da Serra W attacking → ← attacking Sao Jose W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taboao da Serra W scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Sao Jose W let in goals in 67% of their last 55 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Taboao da Serra W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sao Jose W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 102
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16141170:1043
2Ferroviaria W16122253:1538
3Francana W16110536:2033
4Botucatu W1692546:929
5America Sao Manuel W1683537:2227
6Sao Judas Tadeu W16501122:3715
7Marilia W16401229:6312
8Piracicaba W16311218:4810
9Paulista W1611147:944
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W181521108:947
2Santos W18151299:1246
3Centro Olimpico W18130580:1739
4Portuguesa W18112551:1835
5CA Juventus W1894555:2231
6Taboao da Serra W18801033:4524
7Taubate W18441019:5216
8Mogi das Cruzes SP W18311417:11610
9Sao Bernardo W18241220:6910
10Sao Vicente W18101713:1353