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Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Huanuco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacna Heroica host Alianza Huanuco in the Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Tacna Heroica have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Alianza Huanuco's 1.41 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Alianza Huanuco slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.19, favoring Alianza Huanuco. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tacna Heroica
35%
Draws
32%
Alianza Huanuco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza Huanuco average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Tacna Heroica's 1.25.
  • Model gives Tacna Heroica a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica
2:2
Aug 24, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Huanuco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 42 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica Alianza Huanuco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Alianza Huanuco let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tacna Heroica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS Alianza Huanuco
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacna Heroica

(Home)
18 Oct
Tacna Heroica
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Tacna Heroica
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

Alianza Huanuco

(Away)
17 Oct
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
13 Oct
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 4 2 1 1 9:5 9
2 Union Minas 4 2 0 2 8:3 7
3 Pirata 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Ayacucho 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
2 Sport Huancayo 2 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Llacuabamba 4 1 2 1 5:2 6
4 Comerciantes FC 4 1 0 3 1:7 5
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 4 2 2 0 11:2 10
2 U. San Martin 4 3 0 1 6:9 9
3 Tacna Heroica 4 0 2 2 3:6 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams