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Tacna Heroica vs Ayacucho

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacna Heroica host Ayacucho in the Liga 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Tacna Heroica at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Ayacucho at 0.75 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Tacna Heroica slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back Tacna Heroica to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tacna Heroica
17%
Draws
13%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tacna Heroica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayacucho haven't matched Tacna Heroica's recent run of results.
  • Tacna Heroica are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 20%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica Ayacucho
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Tacna Heroica
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 67 / 100
Ayacucho 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ayacucho let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Tacna Heroica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ayacucho has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS Ayacucho
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacna Heroica

(Home)
19 Jul
Tacna Heroica
2 : 1
Union Minas
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1
Tacna Heroica
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Jun
Tacna Heroica
3 : 2
FBC Melgar
30 May
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
Page 1 of 6

Ayacucho

(Away)
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2
Ayacucho
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
14 Jun
Ayacucho
0 : 1
Los Chankas
01 Jun
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 0
Ayacucho
22 May
Ayacucho
0 : 0
Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba961214:419
2Pirata961216:919
3Union Comercio85218:217
4Carlos Mannucci952211:717
5U. San Martin822411:108
6ADA Jaen81525:68
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao91269:185
9San Marcos50051:170
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC945012:617
2Tacna Heroica943210:815
3Alianza Huanuco942312:914
4Santos FC942310:914
5Sport Huancayo 293338:912
6Ayacucho92437:810
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas91534:68
9Binacional91357:156
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)