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Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna
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Match Events

8'
Garcia J.
11'
Quiroz G.
17'
Munoz J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Tacna Heroica and Santos FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacna Heroica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tacna Heroica
35%
Draws
35%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Santos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tacna Heroica a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 17%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica Santos FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC
3:1
May 16, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Tacna Heroica
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC
4:0
May 2, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Tacna Heroica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacna Heroica Compare

Top Goalscorer Benavente R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas Castilla A. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 41 / 100
Santos FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tacna Heroica found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Santos FC conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Tacna Heroica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS Santos FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacna Heroica

(Home)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

Santos FC

(Away)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)