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Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports, Tukwila, WA
Tacoma Defiance Logo

Tacoma Defiance

2 - 1
FT
Colorado Rapids 2 Logo

Colorado Rapids 2

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Alvarez D.
30' Event
Bronnik M.
Assist: Jauregui R.
46'
Sub
Gilmore G. In: Garcia L.
Out: Gilmore G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Tacoma Defiance and Colorado Rapids 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tacoma Defiance
15%
Draws
34%
Colorado Rapids 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tacoma Defiance carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tacoma Defiance are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 13%
Colorado Rapids 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacoma Defiance Colorado Rapids 2
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.66 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids 2
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids 2
1:4
Jul 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Colorado Rapids 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
6:4
Mar 25, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids 2
4:2
Aug 14, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids 2
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Bronnik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Colorado Rapids 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 35 / 100
Colorado Rapids 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacoma Defiance Colorado Rapids 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Rapids 2 let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Tacoma Defiance found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Colorado Rapids 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacoma Defiance

(Home)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Rapids 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 1
North Texas
14 Sept
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3
Ventura County
24 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)