Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports

Match Events

Evans M.

14'

O'Neill M.

17'

Gaffney C.

Assist: Gonzalez L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Defiance play Los Angeles FC 2 in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tacoma Defiance averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Los Angeles FC 2 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Tacoma Defiance won 3, Los Angeles FC 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.63 for Los Angeles FC 2. This points to a Los Angeles FC 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tacoma Defiance

40%

Draws

29%

Los Angeles FC 2

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Los Angeles FC 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tacoma Defiance.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 14%

Los Angeles FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tacoma Defiance	Los Angeles FC 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	14
Draws	0	0
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	1.38	2
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Mar 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

2:3

Aug 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Jun 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Los Angeles FC 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

2:3

Apr 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Los Angeles FC 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Neill M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gaffney C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 31 / 100

Los Angeles FC 2 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tacoma Defiance Los Angeles FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacoma Defiance scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Los Angeles FC 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Los Angeles FC 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Los Angeles FC 2

1.38 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9