Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports

Match Events

25'

Jasinski J.

38'

Tsukanome Y.

45'

Sub

Phoenix C. In: Brown D.

Out: Phoenix C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Defiance host San Jose Earthquakes II in the MLS Next Pro. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tacoma Defiance have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against San Jose Earthquakes II's 2.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Tacoma Defiance slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.94, favoring San Jose Earthquakes II. San Jose Earthquakes II in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tacoma Defiance

Draws

90%

San Jose Earthquakes II

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

San Jose Earthquakes II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tacoma Defiance.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for San Jose Earthquakes II.
League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tacoma Defiance	San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	1.38	2.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Jul 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

5:4

Mar 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Aug 26, 2024 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 10 / 100

San Jose Earthquakes II 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tacoma Defiance San Jose Earthquakes II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacoma Defiance scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

San Jose Earthquakes II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Jose Earthquakes II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS San Jose Earthquakes II

1.38 Goals Scored 2.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
4	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
7	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
6	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
7	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12