Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2025 Starfire Sports

Spokane Velocity

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Defiance play Spokane Velocity in the US Open Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tacoma Defiance averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Spokane Velocity averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Tacoma Defiance won 1, Spokane Velocity won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Tacoma Defiance and 0.88 for Spokane Velocity. This points to a Spokane Velocity double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Tacoma Defiance

17%

Draws

13%

Spokane Velocity

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Spokane Velocity has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tacoma Defiance.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Tacoma Defiance.
Cup tournament structure in US Open Cup 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 20%

Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tacoma Defiance	Spokane Velocity
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	15
Draws	0	4
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 US Open Cup

Tacoma Defiance vs Spokane Velocity

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 67 / 100

Spokane Velocity 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tacoma Defiance Spokane Velocity

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacoma Defiance scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Spokane Velocity let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spokane Velocity lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Spokane Velocity

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Louisville City-

TBD-

West Chester United2

Loudoun United3

Richmond Kickers1

Virginia Dream3

TBD-

Minnesota United-

St. Louis City-

TBD-

Sporting Kansas City II1

Menace2

Flatirons1

Union Omaha2

TBD-

San Antonio FC-

Hartford Athletic3

New York Shockers0

Portland Hearts of Pine4

Faialense0

TBD-

Rhode Island-

TBD-

New England Revolution-

Chicago Fire-

TBD-

Detroit City-

TBD-

Motown0

Westchester SC1

FC Cincinnati 20

New York Pancyprian1

Tacoma Defiance3

Washington AC1

Ballard0

Spokane Velocity1

TBD-

Oakland Roots-

TBD-

Portland Timbers-

Sacramento Republic-

TBD-

Monterey Bay4

International San Francisco0

Real Monarchs1

El Farolito3

TBD-

San Jose Earthquakes-

Forward Madison5

Duluth FC1

Tulsa Athletic0

FC Tulsa1

TBD-

Phoenix Rising-

TBD-

Houston Dynamo-

Austin FC-

TBD-

New Mexico-

TBD-

Ventura County7

Laguna United0

El Paso Locomotive5

Harpos1

Philadelphia Union-

TBD-

Indy Eleven-

TBD-

Inter Miami II4

Miami United2

Miami FC4

Naples United1

Columbus Crew 24

NY Renegades1

Lexington5

Southern Indiana0

TBD-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds-

TBD-

New York City-

Colorado Springs-

TBD-

Asheville City0

Greenville Triumph1

Appalachian FC0

One Knoxville3

TBD-

New York Red Bulls-

FC Dallas-

TBD-

AV Alta FC3

Ventura1

Los Angeles FC 27

Arizona FC1

TBD-

Orange County SC-

Sarasota Paradise1

FC Naples2

Little Rock Rangers1

Birmingham Legion0

TBD-

Tampa Bay-

TBD-

Orlando City-

Nashville SC-

TBD-

Las Vegas Lights-

TBD-

Chattanooga1

Corpus Christi FC0

New Jersey Alliance2

Chattanooga Red Wolves3

Long Island2

Charlotte Independence3

Carolina Core4

Soda City2

TBD-

North Carolina FC-

TBD-

Charlotte FC-

DC United-

TBD-

Charleston-

TBD-

South Georgia Tormenta3

Harbor City0

Texoma FC1

Foro2

1/64-finals

Louisville City-

TBD-

Loudoun United4

Virginia Dream2

TBD-

Minnesota United-

St. Louis City-

TBD-

Menace1

Union Omaha2

TBD-

San Antonio FC-

Hartford Athletic1

Portland Hearts of Pine2

TBD-

Rhode Island-

TBD-

New England Revolution-

Chicago Fire-

TBD-

Detroit City-

TBD-

Westchester SC3

New York Pancyprian2

Tacoma Defiance2

Spokane Velocity1

TBD-

Oakland Roots-

TBD-

Portland Timbers-

Sacramento Republic-

TBD-

Monterey Bay1

El Farolito2

TBD-

San Jose Earthquakes-

Forward Madison1

FC Tulsa3

TBD-

Phoenix Rising-

TBD-

Houston Dynamo-

Austin FC-

TBD-

New Mexico-

TBD-

Ventura County0

El Paso Locomotive3

Philadelphia Union-

TBD-

Indy Eleven-

TBD-

Inter Miami II0

Miami FC1

Columbus Crew 23

Lexington0

TBD-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds-

TBD-

New York City-

Colorado Springs-

TBD-

Greenville Triumph1

One Knoxville3

TBD-

New York Red Bulls-

FC Dallas-

TBD-

AV Alta FC2

Los Angeles FC 21

TBD-

Orange County SC-

FC Naples3

Little Rock Rangers0

TBD-

Tampa Bay-

TBD-

Orlando City-

Nashville SC-

TBD-

Las Vegas Lights-

TBD-

Chattanooga1

Chattanooga Red Wolves2

Charlotte Independence2

Carolina Core1

TBD-

North Carolina FC-

TBD-

Charlotte FC-

DC United-

TBD-

Charleston-

TBD-

South Georgia Tormenta3

Foro2

1/32-finals

Louisville City2

Loudoun United1

TBD-

Minnesota United-

St. Louis City-

TBD-

Union Omaha1

San Antonio FC0

Portland Hearts of Pine1

Rhode Island2

TBD-

New England Revolution-

Chicago Fire-

TBD-

Detroit City3

Westchester SC1

Tacoma Defiance2

Oakland Roots1

TBD-

Portland Timbers-

Sacramento Republic1

El Farolito0

TBD-

San Jose Earthquakes-

FC Tulsa1

Phoenix Rising2

TBD-

Houston Dynamo-

Austin FC-

TBD-

New Mexico2

El Paso Locomotive3

Philadelphia Union-

TBD-

Indy Eleven1

Miami FC0

Columbus Crew 20

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1

TBD-

New York City-

Colorado Springs3

One Knoxville2

TBD-

New York Red Bulls-

FC Dallas-

TBD-

AV Alta FC3

Orange County SC2

FC Naples1

Tampa Bay2

TBD-

Orlando City-

Nashville SC-

TBD-

Las Vegas Lights2

Chattanooga Red Wolves3

Charlotte Independence1

North Carolina FC3

TBD-

Charlotte FC-

DC United-

TBD-

Charleston4

South Georgia Tormenta0

1/16-finals

Louisville City0

Minnesota United1

St. Louis City2

Union Omaha0

Rhode Island1

New England Revolution2

Chicago Fire4

Detroit City0

Tacoma Defiance2

Portland Timbers3

Sacramento Republic1

San Jose Earthquakes2

Phoenix Rising1

Houston Dynamo4

Austin FC3

El Paso Locomotive2

Philadelphia Union2

Indy Eleven1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1

New York City0

Colorado Springs1

New York Red Bulls4

FC Dallas3

AV Alta FC1

Tampa Bay0

Orlando City5

Nashville SC1

Chattanooga Red Wolves0

North Carolina FC1

Charlotte FC4

DC United2

Charleston0

1/8-finals

Minnesota United3

St. Louis City2

New England Revolution1

Chicago Fire3

Portland Timbers0

San Jose Earthquakes1

Houston Dynamo1

Austin FC3

Philadelphia Union4

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1

New York Red Bulls3

FC Dallas2

Orlando City2

Nashville SC3

Charlotte FC3

DC United4

Quarter-finals

Minnesota United3

Chicago Fire1

San Jose Earthquakes2

Austin FC3

Philadelphia Union3

New York Red Bulls2

Nashville SC5

DC United2

Semi-finals

Minnesota United1

Austin FC2

Philadelphia Union1

Nashville SC3

Final

Austin FC1

Nashville SC2