Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Starfire Sports

Match Events

26'

Robles D.

45'

Sub

Gaffney C. In: Baker C.

Out: Gaffney C.

45'

Selemani J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Defiance host Vancouver Whitecaps 2 in the MLS Next Pro 2025. This one's hard to separate. Tacoma Defiance have averaged 1 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Vancouver Whitecaps 2's 1.13 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Tacoma Defiance have won 2 to Vancouver Whitecaps 2's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.19, favoring Tacoma Defiance. Tacoma Defiance in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Tacoma Defiance

20%

Draws

38%

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Tacoma Defiance has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vancouver Whitecaps 2.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Tacoma Defiance.
League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro 2025 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 20%

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tacoma Defiance	Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	0	0
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sep 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

May 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

5:0

Apr 7, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsukanome Y.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Khoury J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader O'Neill M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 42 / 100

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tacoma Defiance Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacoma Defiance scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Vancouver Whitecaps 2

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
5	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
2	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
3	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
5	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
7	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
5	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17