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Tacoma Stars vs Ballard

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Stars play Ballard in the USL League Two 2025. Ballard are favorites here. Recently, Tacoma Stars averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Ballard averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Tacoma Stars won 1, Ballard won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Tacoma Stars and 2.31 for Ballard. This points to a Ballard double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tacoma Stars
6%
Draws
90%
Ballard
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballard has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tacoma Stars.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ballard.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tacoma Stars Clean Sheet 10%
Ballard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacoma Stars Ballard
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 6 23
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 USL League Two
Ballard vs Tacoma Stars
7:0
Jun 4, 2026 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs Ballard
1:1
Jul 3, 2025 USL League Two
Ballard vs Tacoma Stars
3:0
Jun 24, 2025 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs Ballard
0:11
Jun 9, 2024 USL League Two
Ballard vs Tacoma Stars
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Stars 10 / 100
Ballard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacoma Stars Ballard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacoma Stars scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Ballard let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tacoma Stars went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ballard lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Stars VS Ballard
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%