Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tacuarembo vs Atenas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Arzamendia L.

AI Match Summary

Atenas in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tacuarembo
35%
Draws
49%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo haven't matched Atenas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 18%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Atenas
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.82 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Atenas
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Tacuarembo
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Tacuarembo
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Tacuarembo
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Atenas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzamendia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 32 / 100
Atenas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Atenas let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tacuarembo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Atenas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuarembo

(Home)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

Atenas

(Away)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)