Sport Picks

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Tacuarembo vs Cerrito

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Moreira J.
78'
Ayres M.
78'
Ayres M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Tacuarembo and Cerrito finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tacuarembo
30%
Draws
34%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tacuarembo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerrito come out ahead of Tacuarembo on wins alone.
  • Tacuarembo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Cerrito
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
1:1
Jun 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cerrito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 36 / 100
Cerrito 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Cerrito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tacuarembo scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Cerrito let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tacuarembo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Cerrito
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fenix632113:711
2Huracan FC62409:610
3Uruguay Montevideo FC62317:59
4Cerrito62318:89
5La Luz61415:67
6Atenas61145:114
7Tacuarembo60335:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Oriental De Futbol64118:513
2Plaza Colonia63309:212
3Colon62318:59
4Rentistas62316:59
5Miramar61233:75
6Paysandu FC61144:74
7River Plate Montevideo61146:134