Sport Picks

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Tacuarembo vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Fernandez F.
58'
De Lima E.
75' Event
Cabrera M.

AI Match Summary

Fenix in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tacuarembo
30%
Draws
47%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fenix lately — more wins on the board than Tacuarembo.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tacuarembo taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Fenix
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Fenix
0:2
May 17, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
3:2
Oct 10, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Tacuarembo
4:2
Jul 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Fenix
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 42 / 100
Fenix 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tacuarembo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Fenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Fenix's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Fenix
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuarembo

(Home)
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
29 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Tacuarembo
22 Aug
Tacuarembo
0 : 2
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 19 11 3 5 29:18 36
2 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
3 Plaza Colonia 19 9 4 6 25:18 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Cerrito 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
8 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
11 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
12 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
13 La Luz 19 5 6 8 14:21 21
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)