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Tacuarembo vs Potencia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bittencourt D.
24'
de Freitas A.
68' Event
Risso B.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Tacuarembo and Potencia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Potencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tacuarembo
20%
Draws
29%
Potencia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tacuarembo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tacuarembo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%
Potencia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Potencia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2023 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Potencia
1:2
Jul 1, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Tacuarembo
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Tacuarembo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bittencourt D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Risso B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Britos L. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 50 / 100
Potencia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Potencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacuarembo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Potencia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tacuarembo scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tacuarembo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuarembo

(Home)
29 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Tacuarembo
22 Aug
Tacuarembo
0 : 2
Fenix
16 Aug
Rentistas
0 : 1
Tacuarembo
09 Aug
Miramar
1 : 1
Tacuarembo
02 Aug
Tacuarembo
1 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
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Potencia

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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