Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tacuary vs Libertad Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni, Asunción
Thu, Aug 20, 2026
0 - 1
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Nieva J.
1' Event
Valdez A.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Nequecaur L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tacuary
30%
Draws
47%
Libertad Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Libertad Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Libertad Asuncion have won more games recently than Tacuary.
  • Libertad Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 15%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuary Libertad Asuncion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 12 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Tacuary vs Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Copa de Primera
Tacuary vs Libertad Asuncion
2:4
May 18, 2024 Copa de Primera
Tacuary vs Libertad Asuncion
0:0
Feb 26, 2024 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuary 19 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuary Libertad Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuary found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Libertad Asuncion let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tacuary remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacuary VS Libertad Asuncion
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuary

(Home)
26 Sept
Tacuary
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Tacuary
1 : 2
12 de Junio
09 Sept
Encarnacion FC
1 : 1
Tacuary
05 Sept
Tacuary
0 : 3
Deportivo Santani
Page 1 of 6

Libertad Asuncion

(Away)
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
TBD -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -