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Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nunez M.
19' Event
Valdez A.
37' Event
Galeano L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tacuary
11%
Draws
9%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tacuary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sportivo Carapegua lately — more wins on the board than Tacuary.
  • Win probability leans Tacuary's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuary Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:2
Aug 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Tacuary
2:2
May 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:1
Sep 26, 2015 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Tacuary
0:4
Jun 26, 2015 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuary Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuary 86 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuary Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Tacuary has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tacuary's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuary VS Sportivo Carapegua
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuary

(Home)
25 Jul
Tacuary
1 : 1
Sol de America
20 Jul
Tacuary
0 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
13 Jul
Independiente FBC
2 : 2
Tacuary
03 Jul
Paraguari AC
0 : 1
Tacuary
27 Jun
Tacuary
4 : 2
Atletico Tembetary
Page 1 of 7

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
26 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2
General Caballero JLM
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio16113223:1136
2Benjamin Aceval1695227:1432
3General Caballero JLM1693432:2230
4Deportivo Santani1683522:1427
5Sol de America1659219:1424
6Deportivo Capiata1658322:1923
7Atletico Tembetary1664624:2222
8Guairena FC1664618:2022
9Independiente FBC1656524:2321
10Resistencia1656517:2021
11Fernando de la Mora1654718:2419
12Sportivo Carapegua1654719:2919
13Tacuary1629520:2415
14Paraguari AC1634915:2213
15Encarnacion FC16331015:2312
163 de Noviembre1607913:277
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)